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- Article name
- METHOD FOR IMPROVING THE QUALITY OF ESTIMATING THE EFFICIENCY OF THE APPLICATION OF PERSPECTIVE AIRCRAFT
- Authors
- Arsenyev V. N., , vladar56@mail.ru, Military Space Academy named A. F. Mozhaysky, St. Petersburg, Russia
Dubinin D. P., , dubinindp@yandex.ru, Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University), Moscow, Russia
- Keywords
- aircraft / application efficiency / a priori information / limited field tests / gains in accuracy and number of testsc
- Year
- 2020 Issue 1 Pages 27 - 33
- Code EDN
- Code DOI
- Abstract
- The task of evaluating the effectiveness of the application of a promising aircraft based on the results of a priori research and testing of a limited number of prototypes is considered. To solve it, the method of priority of experimental information was used, which made it possible to increase the accuracy of estimation and get a gain in the number of tests. It is shown that the application of the obtained a posteriori estimate of the likelihood of an aircraft performing the target task reduces the risk of making erroneous decisions when planning the use of the aircraft for the intended purpose.
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